Your article made me feel sick to my stomach. All those mothers with lost sons and wives with no one anymore. This is pure devil's work. I can't see it as anything more than Santanic and blood sacrifice. This is not incompetence, this is not how you fight a war. This is how you corral a slaughter. May God help us and I'm not even religious or one of those Christian nuts but seeing evil like this makes me think there must be good somewhere. Thank you for your work.
Satan is a Christian concept and the consciousness , or multiple, has existed much longer then Christianity. Additionally, evil is a relative term. Are we evil in the eyes of the chicken whom we slaughter by the millions for food ? Entities have to " eat" after all, and Its not like they dont tell us.
I was thinking if it is possible to minimize the deaths of your Ruskis by using more Small sized APCs?
My thought process is a long the lines of a Universal Carrier type vehicle that is armoured enough from Small Arms fire (roughly a brinell rating of 500+ at about 20mm thick plating) under 1 Metric Ton in weight, and is able to carry 3 to 5 Men up to the enemies position in a speedy manner.
Just a thought as I don't think Large APCs like BTRs or BMPs are suitable due to their size which makes them stick out like a sore thumb.
Heres a link for the type of vehicle I'm referring to, with slight modification with a roof I think it could work quite well both as APC and as a general Utility Vehicle with good off road and road performance.
Not fair to WW1 ? There is a line of thought to the effect that WW1 officer corps were not merely stupid brutes; they were horrified at the carnage and made efforts - with some success (e.g. introduction of battle tanks) - to evolve tactics to minimize it. And they faced hard choices not evident to retrospective critics - the massed, in line infantry advances (which were phased out eventually) vs the advance-as-you-are-able which was thought to be a recipe for chaos and huge numbers of friendly fire KIA.
But these Russian and Ukr guys? Well out of the range of fire, no doubt (enemy and same side) - raking in discharge/furlough bribes - probably staying well intoxicated on numerous substances..., UGH! Pure depravity.
WW1 attacks were real human wave attacks, in the sense that the attackers would climb out their own trenches, and run in mass against the enemy machine gun nests with nothing but a messy artillery preparation that hopefully kept the defenders long enough in their trench redoubts, for the attacking human wave to reach these trenches soon enough to avoid being mowed down by machine gun and small arms fire.
This in time was addressed through the development of stormtrooper tactics, which are nothing fancy, but simply modern infantry tactics of small groups, advancing scattered, concealed and camouflaged as much as possible, slithering on the ground, using much more firepower (each platoon using mortars, heavy machine guns, semiautomatics to each soldier, signal and comm technicians to call artillery or air support on the fly). All infantry ever enlisted from WW2 on to the current day, are basically sturmtruppen by WW1 standards.
> So the Russian advances being made now are being made against the densest barrier of shells, drones, and drone-laid mines yet.
Shells and drones come handy against armoured targets like BMPs. In the video you posted in your previous article, a 40-men platoon closed a 2-300 yards distance with a Ukr treeline trench, by running in the open through a snowy field, well scattered. This denies effectiveness to both artillery (*shoot mosquitos with a gun* paradox) and drones (need too many drones, not enough operators to guide them, impossible to coordinate the drone effort timely as the human attack wave would take less than 5 minutes to reach the treeline).
Only liability for the attacking platoon in these conditions is machine gun fire coming from the treeline. This danger is really what leaves us unconsciously horrified, as we have watched too many documentaries on WW1. But actually there were probably fewer than 5 Ukrainians defending that treeline, and they were likely being suppressed by drones or even artillery, as the Russian attack was well coordinated.
So, under current conditions of small-arms uselessness in defence, we may even dare to state that human wave attacks > BMP-assisted attacks.
That said, the main problem for the attacking Russians would come in the form of immediate AFU counter-attacks against the treeline Russians just occupied. I think the Ukraine conducts these sporadically by now, and only on some sections of the front.
AFU shells may still come from Western procurement or South Korean stocks, and certainly less are needed by them for purely defensive operations, and also they have big problems substituting burnout gun barrels anyway. For these reasons, and because procurement might stop once Trump is enthroned, the AFU's artillery usage should be parsimonious and of modest entity ATM.
The main gripe against the Russian military right now is that they are facing shallower and more improvised defences than what they were up against in Avdivka and Marinka. If they had the numbers right now, they could create momentum whereby they take a treeline, then immediately attack the next one, not leaving the Ukrainians the time to prepare new lines as they retreat. In other words, by now Russians should have launched a real offensive, but this in all probability can't be done, because evidently they lack the reserves to do it.
I don't think there is much in all those statistics. How do you infer from 6,000 obituaries in one month, that the real number of fallen Russian soldiers for that month is 8,000? You'd need official and reliable previous data stating clearly that over some past month the ratio of obituaries to real dead was approx 3 : 4. We don't have that to my knowledge, we can't have that of course and we will know official figures only long after this conflict will be finished.
Also I am skeptical that there is actually people scouring local newspaper and facebook pages everyday, of every remote community located in the Russian Federation, and a structure coordinating that, to produce reliable daily information on the number of dead Russian servicemen. If I were the GRU and knew this was going on (as we know they do) I would ban obituaries, or more cleverly, if the accounting shown here is even possible, I would manipulate local newspaper to produce false numbers.
Also, Ukrainian KIA figures are grossly underestimated, because many, if not, apparently -most- KIAs are logged as MIAs, in order to minimise defeatist data and to avoid paying reparation to their relatives.
Moreover, numbers of surrenders and captives are lopsided in Russian favour. Prisoners-of-war are KIAs who lucked out.
Please also avoid publishing excel graphs inferring trendlines from three data points, it's intellectually weaselly!
Marko is going off of Lost Armoured numbers for the Ukrainians and you can't accuse them of being biased towards the Ukrainians. IMO LA is just being very conservative in their numbers whereas the Russian loss trackers are doing everything they can to get the numbers up as much as possible. But it would be a really unsafe bet imo to put money on Ukrainian casualties not jumping at all during the Kursk offensive like the graph shows in the article.
You have a point though about the corpse and prisoner exchanges. The pow thing can be partially explained by the Ukrainian just being way more likely to kill surrendering Russians but the corpse angle does suggest that Ukrainian losses are undercounted quite a bit. Last time the Ukrainians received over 500 bodies and the Russians less than a hundred. Where all 500+ of the bodies Ukraine received counted in LAs tally? Did they all get some kind of obituary in Ukrainian? Highly doubt it.
what I mean is that if Russians manage to cross a small creek to their south and get to that crossroads in Dachnoe, just west of Kurakhovo, all AFU east of the line going from Sukhi Yaly up to the reservoir will have to surrender. That's thousands of troops trapped in one go.
That's the true measure of which side is winning. Dead-counting is as futile as is unreliable at this stage, good only for its emotional impact on the homefront
If Ukraine doesn't unconditionally surrender Russia loses and Ukraine isn't going to unconditionally surrender. That's that. Russias absolute best case scenario is liberating Donbass while not losing anymore territory anywhere else and that being possible is highly debatable, especially if Marko is right and Russia is now losing 3 times more guys than the Ukrainians. I doubt that particular claim a little bit but even if its not that bad Russia still isn't forcing an unconditional surrender and they might not even liberate Slavyansk and Kramatorsk at this rate.
Any talk of Russia "winning" at this point is insanity.
I mean... when they deploy the "peace"keeping terrorists in Ukrainistan the amount of money they are going to make will be even better than the one they made after what they did to Yugoslavia.
The best thing both Ukrainian & Russian soldiers can do is to turn their guns on their own officers and mutiny to stop this senseless slaughter.
Amen.
They should turn their guns on their políticas instead
no need for that... better just to stop using them!
Your article made me feel sick to my stomach. All those mothers with lost sons and wives with no one anymore. This is pure devil's work. I can't see it as anything more than Santanic and blood sacrifice. This is not incompetence, this is not how you fight a war. This is how you corral a slaughter. May God help us and I'm not even religious or one of those Christian nuts but seeing evil like this makes me think there must be good somewhere. Thank you for your work.
" I can't see it as anything more than Santanic and blood sacrifice. "
Astute, minus the Satanic part.
What is it then? It's for some higher evil cause.
Satan is a Christian concept and the consciousness , or multiple, has existed much longer then Christianity. Additionally, evil is a relative term. Are we evil in the eyes of the chicken whom we slaughter by the millions for food ? Entities have to " eat" after all, and Its not like they dont tell us.
REVELATION OF THE METHOD
I was thinking if it is possible to minimize the deaths of your Ruskis by using more Small sized APCs?
My thought process is a long the lines of a Universal Carrier type vehicle that is armoured enough from Small Arms fire (roughly a brinell rating of 500+ at about 20mm thick plating) under 1 Metric Ton in weight, and is able to carry 3 to 5 Men up to the enemies position in a speedy manner.
Just a thought as I don't think Large APCs like BTRs or BMPs are suitable due to their size which makes them stick out like a sore thumb.
Heres a link for the type of vehicle I'm referring to, with slight modification with a roof I think it could work quite well both as APC and as a general Utility Vehicle with good off road and road performance.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Universal_Carrier
Not fair to WW1 ? There is a line of thought to the effect that WW1 officer corps were not merely stupid brutes; they were horrified at the carnage and made efforts - with some success (e.g. introduction of battle tanks) - to evolve tactics to minimize it. And they faced hard choices not evident to retrospective critics - the massed, in line infantry advances (which were phased out eventually) vs the advance-as-you-are-able which was thought to be a recipe for chaos and huge numbers of friendly fire KIA.
But these Russian and Ukr guys? Well out of the range of fire, no doubt (enemy and same side) - raking in discharge/furlough bribes - probably staying well intoxicated on numerous substances..., UGH! Pure depravity.
WW1 attacks were real human wave attacks, in the sense that the attackers would climb out their own trenches, and run in mass against the enemy machine gun nests with nothing but a messy artillery preparation that hopefully kept the defenders long enough in their trench redoubts, for the attacking human wave to reach these trenches soon enough to avoid being mowed down by machine gun and small arms fire.
This in time was addressed through the development of stormtrooper tactics, which are nothing fancy, but simply modern infantry tactics of small groups, advancing scattered, concealed and camouflaged as much as possible, slithering on the ground, using much more firepower (each platoon using mortars, heavy machine guns, semiautomatics to each soldier, signal and comm technicians to call artillery or air support on the fly). All infantry ever enlisted from WW2 on to the current day, are basically sturmtruppen by WW1 standards.
Its border line impossible to believe that Ukrainian losses didn't spike at all after opening up the Kursk front. Lost Armour is slacking.
> So the Russian advances being made now are being made against the densest barrier of shells, drones, and drone-laid mines yet.
Shells and drones come handy against armoured targets like BMPs. In the video you posted in your previous article, a 40-men platoon closed a 2-300 yards distance with a Ukr treeline trench, by running in the open through a snowy field, well scattered. This denies effectiveness to both artillery (*shoot mosquitos with a gun* paradox) and drones (need too many drones, not enough operators to guide them, impossible to coordinate the drone effort timely as the human attack wave would take less than 5 minutes to reach the treeline).
Only liability for the attacking platoon in these conditions is machine gun fire coming from the treeline. This danger is really what leaves us unconsciously horrified, as we have watched too many documentaries on WW1. But actually there were probably fewer than 5 Ukrainians defending that treeline, and they were likely being suppressed by drones or even artillery, as the Russian attack was well coordinated.
So, under current conditions of small-arms uselessness in defence, we may even dare to state that human wave attacks > BMP-assisted attacks.
That said, the main problem for the attacking Russians would come in the form of immediate AFU counter-attacks against the treeline Russians just occupied. I think the Ukraine conducts these sporadically by now, and only on some sections of the front.
AFU shells may still come from Western procurement or South Korean stocks, and certainly less are needed by them for purely defensive operations, and also they have big problems substituting burnout gun barrels anyway. For these reasons, and because procurement might stop once Trump is enthroned, the AFU's artillery usage should be parsimonious and of modest entity ATM.
The main gripe against the Russian military right now is that they are facing shallower and more improvised defences than what they were up against in Avdivka and Marinka. If they had the numbers right now, they could create momentum whereby they take a treeline, then immediately attack the next one, not leaving the Ukrainians the time to prepare new lines as they retreat. In other words, by now Russians should have launched a real offensive, but this in all probability can't be done, because evidently they lack the reserves to do it.
I don't think there is much in all those statistics. How do you infer from 6,000 obituaries in one month, that the real number of fallen Russian soldiers for that month is 8,000? You'd need official and reliable previous data stating clearly that over some past month the ratio of obituaries to real dead was approx 3 : 4. We don't have that to my knowledge, we can't have that of course and we will know official figures only long after this conflict will be finished.
Also I am skeptical that there is actually people scouring local newspaper and facebook pages everyday, of every remote community located in the Russian Federation, and a structure coordinating that, to produce reliable daily information on the number of dead Russian servicemen. If I were the GRU and knew this was going on (as we know they do) I would ban obituaries, or more cleverly, if the accounting shown here is even possible, I would manipulate local newspaper to produce false numbers.
Also, Ukrainian KIA figures are grossly underestimated, because many, if not, apparently -most- KIAs are logged as MIAs, in order to minimise defeatist data and to avoid paying reparation to their relatives.
Moreover, numbers of surrenders and captives are lopsided in Russian favour. Prisoners-of-war are KIAs who lucked out.
Please also avoid publishing excel graphs inferring trendlines from three data points, it's intellectually weaselly!
Marko is going off of Lost Armoured numbers for the Ukrainians and you can't accuse them of being biased towards the Ukrainians. IMO LA is just being very conservative in their numbers whereas the Russian loss trackers are doing everything they can to get the numbers up as much as possible. But it would be a really unsafe bet imo to put money on Ukrainian casualties not jumping at all during the Kursk offensive like the graph shows in the article.
You have a point though about the corpse and prisoner exchanges. The pow thing can be partially explained by the Ukrainian just being way more likely to kill surrendering Russians but the corpse angle does suggest that Ukrainian losses are undercounted quite a bit. Last time the Ukrainians received over 500 bodies and the Russians less than a hundred. Where all 500+ of the bodies Ukraine received counted in LAs tally? Did they all get some kind of obituary in Ukrainian? Highly doubt it.
I was not even thinking about corpse exchanges.
Check the map: https://s5.cdnstatic.space/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/17dec2024_Ukraine_Kurakhovo_Map.jpg
what I mean is that if Russians manage to cross a small creek to their south and get to that crossroads in Dachnoe, just west of Kurakhovo, all AFU east of the line going from Sukhi Yaly up to the reservoir will have to surrender. That's thousands of troops trapped in one go.
That's the true measure of which side is winning. Dead-counting is as futile as is unreliable at this stage, good only for its emotional impact on the homefront
If Ukraine doesn't unconditionally surrender Russia loses and Ukraine isn't going to unconditionally surrender. That's that. Russias absolute best case scenario is liberating Donbass while not losing anymore territory anywhere else and that being possible is highly debatable, especially if Marko is right and Russia is now losing 3 times more guys than the Ukrainians. I doubt that particular claim a little bit but even if its not that bad Russia still isn't forcing an unconditional surrender and they might not even liberate Slavyansk and Kramatorsk at this rate.
Any talk of Russia "winning" at this point is insanity.
> Any talk of Russia "winning" at this point is insanity.
...
American, British and Europeans (excluding Ukrainistan) couldn't be happier with the success transition of PROFIT from Afghanistan to Ukrainistan.
Millions of them have GOOD JOBS in the M.I.C. and they aren't willing to go poor and live in a cardboard tent just for the sake of "PEACE"!
But even better are ALL the official terrorists that belong to the North Atlantic Terrorist Organization.
It's priceless to see the Proud in their pigly faces.
https://voza0db.substack.com/p/morons-just-dont-get-it-209
I mean... when they deploy the "peace"keeping terrorists in Ukrainistan the amount of money they are going to make will be even better than the one they made after what they did to Yugoslavia.
And the herds just keep on slaving.