I don't think it's a conscpiracy, but you're exactly right. If you set out to set up the Ru army for failure and for degradation this is how you would do it.
The AFU ebbs and flows depending on the weaponry packages they get as bonuses from the West. They might be weaker in between these shipments. That's all it can be predicted.
Maybe Russia should interdict incoming supplies then like Ukraine has with HIMARs? Oh wait, they can't, because Russia has no battlefield intelligence to speak of.
Russian forces are "slightly" diminished? What war have you been watching? 1st guards were smashed to shit. VDV is demoralized or fertilizer. 1000s of tanks/IFVs destroyed or captured. VKS has been useless, and hundreds of downed planes and choppers. The 3rd army Corps they rushed in as reinforcements were drunks, old guys, cripples and prisoners - and performed accordingly.
Russia is a lot more than slightly diminished - closer to 'almost finished'. .
I don't think it's a conscpiracy, but you're exactly right. If you set out to set up the Ru army for failure and for degradation this is how you would do it.
The AFU ebbs and flows depending on the weaponry packages they get as bonuses from the West. They might be weaker in between these shipments. That's all it can be predicted.
Denying Little Russian agency is precisely how you get into a position of not being able to predict anything.
Maybe Russia should interdict incoming supplies then like Ukraine has with HIMARs? Oh wait, they can't, because Russia has no battlefield intelligence to speak of.
Russian forces are "slightly" diminished? What war have you been watching? 1st guards were smashed to shit. VDV is demoralized or fertilizer. 1000s of tanks/IFVs destroyed or captured. VKS has been useless, and hundreds of downed planes and choppers. The 3rd army Corps they rushed in as reinforcements were drunks, old guys, cripples and prisoners - and performed accordingly.
Russia is a lot more than slightly diminished - closer to 'almost finished'. .